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The Journal of Pediatrics

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match The Journal of Pediatrics's content profile, based on 16 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Rising rate of non-receipt of vitamin K prophylaxis for newborns, January 2019 - June 2026

Masters, N. B.; Farrar, K. G.; Holler, E.; Lancaster, J. M.

2026-09-02 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361837 medRxiv
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Background: Vitamin K prophylaxis is universally recommended for newborns to prevent life threatening vitamin K deficiency bleeding. Although not on the immunization schedule, vitamin K prophylaxis is often coadministered with hepatitis B birth dose and erythromycin ophthalmic ointment, and rising hesitancy around vaccines/preventive care may spill over into vitamin K administration. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using Truveta electronic health record data with linked mother-child dyads. Live births to mothers aged 15-49 from January 1, 2019 through June 30, 2026 were included. Vitamin K administration was defined as documentation on the birth date or following day. Logistic regression assessed sociodemographic predictors of non-receipt, and interrupted time series analysis evaluated changes after January 2026. Results: Among 1,026,375 infants, 995,628 (96.97%) had documented vitamin K administration. Non-receipt increased from an average of 2.1% during 2019-2022 to 4.3% in 2025 and 6.1% in 2026, reaching 8.10% in June 2026. Older maternal age, non-Hispanic or Latino ethnicity, Medicaid or unknown insurance, and year of delivery were associated with greater odds of non-receipt. After January 2026, there was no immediate step change, but the odds of vitamin K receipt declined an additional 10% per month (OR: 0.90; 95% CI, 0.88-0.91). Conclusions: Vitamin K non-receipt increased over the study period and accelerated after January 2026. Because vitamin K recommendations were not changed by the January vaccine schedule, this association may reflect broader impacts to confidence in newborn preventive care. Future studies should examine causal mechanisms, parental decision-making, and associated clinical outcomes.

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Towards Electronic Health Records-Based Paediatric Growth References: Results from the SwissPedGrowth Project

Leuenberger, L. M.; Shoman, Y.; Romero, F.; Sasaki, M.; Deligianni, X.; Goebel, N.; Mozun, R.; Bielicki, J. A.; Burckhardt, M.-A.; Saner, C.; Schwitzgebel, V.; Hauschild, M.; Righini Grunder, F.; Mueller, P.; Schlapbach, L. J.; Jenni, O.; Spycher, B. D.; Kuehni, C. E.; Belle, F. N.; SwissPedHealth consotrium,

2026-09-02 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361619 medRxiv
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BACKGROUND: We used anthropometric data from electronic health records (EHRs) of Swiss childrens hospitals to evaluate growth references and estimate centile curves. METHODS: We received EHRs extracted from seven Swiss childrens hospitals and analysed two samples: all children with a height, weight, body mass index (BMI), or head circumference recording, and a subsample restricted to children without diseases potentially affecting growth, weighted to represent the general population. We calculated mean z-scores based on the World Health Organization growth references adopted for Switzerland in 2011 (CH-WHO 2011) and current Swiss growth references (Swiss 2026). We estimated sex-specific centile curves in the subsample using generalised additive models for location, scale, and shape. RESULTS: We included 213,868 children with height, 448,002 with weight, 209,244 with BMI, and 67,397 with head circumference recordings. Mean z-scores in the all children sample were (CH-WHO 2011; Swiss 2026): height (0.10; -0.19), weight (0.16; -0.09), BMI (0.04; -0.07), head circumference (-0.28, -0.28); and in the subsample: height (0.34; 0.00), weight (0.27; 0.01), BMI (0.18; 0.05), and head circumference (0.04; 0.01). The 50th height, weight, BMI, and head circumference centiles of girls and boys in the subsample closely followed those of Swiss 2026, with slightly wider 3rd and 97th centiles in infancy and adolescence. CONCLUSION: Height, weight, BMI, and head circumference centiles aligned well with the Swiss 2026 growth references in Switzerland, demonstrating that hospital EHRs could contribute to future growth references.

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Electronic health data exploring cardiorespiratory responses of transfusions in preterm infants: An international multicenter cohort study

Honore, A.; Rech, T.; Scrivens, A.; Binotto, I.; Zandvoort, C. S.; van der Staaij, H.; Peck, M.; Zivanovic, S.; Stanworth, S. J.; Hartley, C.; Dame, C.; Deschmann, E.; the Neonatal Transfusion Network,

2026-09-03 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.09.01.26361418 medRxiv
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Background and Objectives: Preterm infants are commonly transfused, yet direct cardiorespiratory effects of red blood cell (RBC) transfusions remain poorly understood. We explored the feasibility of using multicentre electronic health data (EHD) to study such cardiorespiratory responses. Methods: Highly granular routine EHD were collected from preterm infants born <32 weeks gestational age at three European centres. Heart rate, oxygen saturation, and respiratory rate were evaluated 12 hours before and after the RBC transfusion. Results: A total of 321 transfusions in 164 infants were analysed. Overall, there was no significant change in the rate of bradycardia and apnoea following transfusion. Cardiorespiratory parameters varied substantially between infants; e.g. 20% of transfusions were associated with an unexpected, significant increase in heart rate. Respiratory rate and oxygen saturation exhibited similarly heterogenous patterns following transfusion. In sub-group analysis, the proportion of transfusions with increased heart rate was significantly higher within the first two weeks than later (32% vs 13%, p=0.0019). Conclusions: Multicentre EHD extraction allows to identify otherwise masked short-term effects of RBC transfusions on cardiorespiratory parameters, possibly indicating cardiac or pulmonary overload. Such effects may vary with adaptation to anaemia. Analysing EHD may ultimately enable personalized transfusion practice.

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A Randomized Non-Inferiority Trial of an eHealth Delivery Alternative for Cancer Genetic Testing for Hereditary Cancer (eREACH2)

Lee, K. T.; Egleston, B.; Fetzer, D.; Domchek, S. M.; Fleisher, L.; Wen, K.-Y.; Wagner, L.; Roberts, S.; Howe, S.; Cacioppo, C.; Christiansen, J.; Karpink, K.; Selmani, E.; Mastaglio, E.; Weinberg, M.; Wood, E. M.; Feng, J.; John, S.; Schweickert, K.; Mcleod, B.; Bradbury, A. R.

2026-09-03 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.09.01.26361920 medRxiv
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Background: Many at-risk patients lack access to genetic services due to a genetic counselor (GC) workforce shortage. Little is known about how digital alternatives impact patients with and without cancer who meet criteria for genetic testing. Methods: eREACH2 is a randomized 4-arm non-inferiority trial where pre-test (visit 1) and/or return of results (visit 2) GC counseling was replaced with a patient-centered digital intervention. Arms include: A (GC/GC), B (GC/digital), C (digital/GC) and D (digital/digital). Primary outcomes were non-inferiority in uptake of genetic services and change in genetic knowledge and general anxiety from baseline to post-disclosure of results (T0-T2). Secondary cognitive and affective outcomes were assessed using non-inferiority ANOVAs and equivalency chi-squared tests in intention-to-treat and per-protocol analyses. Findings: 773 participants were recruited nationwide; 46.6% from rural areas. Mean age was 51 years (range 20-87), 13% male, 12% non-white, 29% had less than a college education, and 33% had a personal history of cancer. 584 (76%) patients completed testing (14% had a positive result, 16% had a VUS). In the primary ITT analyses, we met the non-inferiority for uptake of genetic services and anxiety, but results were inconclusive for knowledge. Secondary outcomes were heterogeneous across arms. Arm C demonstrated consistently favorable effects, while Arms B and D showed less favorable outcomes in select domains (e.g. satisfaction and MICRA). Patients who received positive or VUS results via digital disclosure had significantly higher MICRA scores - indicating greater negative response to testing. Interpretation: In this large, randomized trial of patients with and without cancer, the eREACH intervention was effective for pre-test counseling, but inconclusive for digital disclosure of results. Exploratory analyses suggest that digital delivery could be a reasonable alternative for individuals receiving negative results, while those receiving positive or VUS results may derive some short-term psychosocial benefit from GC disclosure.

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Clinical deep sequencing to diagnose pathogenic mosaic variants in malformations of cortical development and epilepsy

Stone, K.; Prinzing, G.; Lai, A.; Smith, L.; Sheidley, B. R.; Corliss, M. M.; Bowling, K.; Cao, Y.; Wiltrout, K.; Stone, S. S. D.; Lidov, H.; Yang, E.; Poduri, A.; D'Gama, A. M.

2026-09-03 neurology 10.64898/2026.09.01.26361943 medRxiv
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Background and Objectives: Deep sequencing of brain tissue in the research setting has established that mosaic variants are a major cause of malformations of cortical development (MCDs) and epilepsy. However, genetic testing in the clinical setting primarily detects germline variants using clinically accessible samples. We aimed to determine the diagnostic yield and clinical utility of deep sequencing in the clinical setting to identify pathogenic mosaic variants for this population. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort analysis of individuals at Boston Children's Hospital with MCDs with or without epilepsy who received clinical deep sequencing between September 2017 and February 2026. Demographic, clinical, and genetic testing data were abstracted from the medical record. For individuals without systemic features, we classified brain tissue as an affected tissue sample. For individuals with systemic features, we classified brain or relevant non-brain tissue as affected. The primary outcome was the diagnostic yield of clinical deep sequencing performed using affected vs unaffected tissue samples. The secondary outcome was the clinical utility of genetic diagnoses. Results: Our cohort included 37 individuals (19/37 (51%) female, 18/37 (49%) male) with MCDs, of whom 35/37 (95%) had epilepsy (25 with brain tissue samples available from epilepsy surgery) and 8/37 (22%) had systemic features. Most (35/37 (95%)) had dysplasia phenotypes on MRI and 12/27 (44%) with pathology available had Focal Cortical Dysplasia Type I or II. The diagnostic yield was 53% (17/32; 16 mosaic and 1 germline variant) when clinical deep sequencing was performed using an affected tissue sample vs 0% (0/6) using an unaffected tissue sample (p=0.016). Of the diagnosed cases, 13/17 (76%) had testing performed on brain tissue (1 with systemic features) and 4/17 (24%) on non-brain tissue (3 buccal and 1 duodenal tissue, all with systemic features). All but one diagnosis involved the mTOR pathway. All diagnoses had clinical utility. Discussion: Clinical deep sequencing, when performed using an affected tissue sample, has high diagnostic yield and clinical utility for individuals with MCDs, especially dysplasia phenotypes, and epilepsy. Our findings support implementation of clinical deep sequencing for this population, especially as the genetic diagnoses have implications for emerging precision therapies.

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Burr-Hole Intersection of Middle Meningeal Artery Branches and Recurrence in Chronic Subdural Haematoma: a Multicentre Retrospective Cohort Study

Saba, T. M.; Moudgil-Joshi, J.; Pandit, A. S.; Penn, J.; Mallon, D.; Marcus, H. J.; Grover, P.

2026-08-31 surgery 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361348 medRxiv
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Background and Objectives: Recurrence following burr-hole drainage of chronic subdural haematoma (cSDH) occurs in 10-25% of cases, sustained by neovascularisation of the subdural neomembrane supplied by the middle meningeal artery (MMA). MMA embolisation reduces recurrence; whether incidental burr-hole intersection of MMA branches during drainage confers similar benefit is unknown. Methods: We performed a multicentre retrospective cohort study of consecutive adults undergoing burr-hole drainage for cSDH at two UK tertiary neurosurgical centres. Postoperative thin-slice CT was used to classify burr-hole intersection of the underlying MMA groove (no hit, distal-branch hit or main-branch hit) and measure perpendicular burr-hole-to-MMA-groove distance. Co-primary outcomes were radiological recurrence and recurrence requiring intervention. Patient-clustered multivariable logistic regression adjusted for prespecified clinical covariates and treating site. Results: 227 patients (284 operated hemispheres) were included. Radiological recurrence decreased from 34.4% with no branch hit to 22.9% with main-branch intersection, with the gradient confined predominantly to unilateral cSDH. Main-branch intersection was associated with lower adjusted odds of radiological recurrence in unilateral cSDH (adjusted OR 0.30, 95% CI 0.11- 0.81; P = .018), with a similar but non-significant association in the overall cohort (adjusted OR 0.53, 95% CI 0.26-1.07; P = .075). Burr-hole-to-MMA-groove distance demonstrated a more consistent association: in the overall cohort, each 5-mm increase independently increased the odds of radiological recurrence (adjusted OR 1.38, 95% CI 1.04-1.82; P = .025). In unilateral cSDH, each 5-mm increase was independently associated with both radiological recurrence (adjusted OR 1.45, 95% CI 1.03-2.04; P = .034) and recurrence requiring intervention (adjusted OR 1.52, 95% CI 1.05-2.20; P = .027). Conclusion: Main-branch intersection of the middle meningeal artery during routine burr-hole surgery is associated with lower recurrence of unilateral cSDH, while the accompanying burr-hole-to-MMA-groove distance gradient provides biologically plausible support for a dose-response relationship. Together, these findings provide mechanistic rationale for prospective evaluation of intentional neuronavigation-guided MMA targeting (BURR-MMA; NCT07549893).

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Diversification without convergence: national childhood respiratory pathogen spectra diverge as they diversify, 1990-2023

Li, D.; Feng, Q.; Zhang, Y.; Chen, H.; Wang, X.; Shen, C.

2026-09-03 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.09.01.26361890 medRxiv
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Background National childhood respiratory pathogen spectra are diversifying nearly everywhere - within-country diversity rose in 203 of 204 countries between 1990 and 2023 - yet whether countries are diversifying toward a common spectrum or along divergent paths is unknown. We quantified between-country compositional distance of national pathogen spectra over the same period. Methods We built national pathogen share vectors from Global Burden of Disease Study 2023 lower respiratory infection etiologic attributions (26 pathogens, 204 countries, ages 0-19 years) at five timepoints spanning 1990-2023. Between-country distance was measured as all pairwise Jensen-Shannon divergences (JSD; primary) and Bray-Curtis dissimilarities, with Baselga and Jaccard decompositions; robustness was assessed across metrics, pathogen panels, low-count thresholds and a balanced panel of 107 countries. Results Mean pairwise JSD rose from 0.0084 in 1990 to 0.0283 in 2023 (+238%; trend p = 0.030), peaking in 2021 (+283%) with a partial 2023 pullback. Bray-Curtis dissimilarity rose +120% and the balanced panel +423%. Divergence was entirely balanced variation (share reallocation), with spectrum richness rising from 18.5 to 21.1 of 26 pathogens. Dispersion rose fastest for influenza (coefficient of variation 0.03 to 0.55) and respiratory syncytial virus (0.08 to 0.48). Within-region distance rose in every computable GBD super-region (five of seven): divergence occurs within regions, not between blocs. Conclusions National spectra are re-sorting along country-specific axes as vaccine-preventable dominance recedes at different speeds. Diversification is universal, but convergence is absent: the transition at the etiologic-spectrum level is asynchronous and path-dependent, with implications for empirical treatment policy and pathogen surveillance.

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After the vaccine era: sequencing platform investments as the childhood pneumonia spectrum diversifies

Li, D.; Chen, H.; Xie, J.; Li, J.; Wang, X.; Shen, C.

2026-09-03 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.09.01.26361934 medRxiv
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Background The historic decline in childhood pneumonia mortality was driven substantially by single-pathogen vaccines against Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) and Streptococcus pneumoniae. Yet the pathogen spectrum underlying child pneumonia deaths is diversifying: the effective number of pathogens rose from 5.57 in 1990 to 9.94 in 2023, and the residual burden is shifting toward opportunistic and hospital-associated pathogens for which no licensed childhood vaccines exist. This paper asks how resources should be sequenced between single-pathogen interventions and platform investments as this transition proceeds. Methods We analyzed Global Burden of Disease Study 2023 deaths from 29 pathogens in ages 0-19 years by super-region, combined with WHO/UNICEF Estimates of National Immunization Coverage (WUENIC) for PCV3 and Hib3. We quantified the spectrum transition under two denominators (26- and 29-pathogen calibers), constructed a share-by-intervenability matrix assigning each pathogen to a dominant intervention channel (vaccine-reachable, mixed, platform-sensitive) under explicit classification rules, compared platform-sensitive deaths with a transparently computed scenario of residual vaccine-preventable deaths, and cross-classified pathogens by age tropism and poverty lock. We anchored platform interventions to verified published evidence. Results The vaccine-preventable group share fell from 54.0% to 40.2% while the opportunistic/hospital group rose from 18.1% to 23.1% (29-pathogen caliber, 1990-2023). Super-region vaccine coverage showed no significant association with pathogen-share change (PCV3 Spearman rho = 0.108, p = 0.818; Hib3 rho = -0.036, p = 0.939), a null result we report as evidence that simple coverage-burden correlations do not hold at the regional level, not as evidence against vaccine value. In 2023, vaccine-reachable pathogens accounted for 441,410 deaths (45.7%, channel including COVID-19), mixed for 126,926 (13.1%), and platform-sensitive pathogens for 396,995 (41.1%). Platform-sensitive deaths were 2.9-5.1 times the scenario estimate of residual vaccine-preventable deaths (52,435-77,512). Nine of 14 classifiable pathogens fell into the poverty-locked, infant-tropic cell (480,922 deaths; Fisher OR = 9.0, p = 0.1758). Conclusions The marginal value of single-pathogen strategies declines as the spectrum diversifies and residual deaths concentrate in platform-sensitive, poverty-locked, infant-tropic pathogens. Vaccine scale-up remains a certain and sizeable opportunity; the next increment of marginal resources should increasingly fund platform capabilities (oxygen systems, antimicrobial access and stewardship, infection prevention and control, referral, and nutrition) delivered as a package to the populations where the residual burden is locked.

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A Randomized Controlled Trial Evaluating a Community-Based, Family Network Heart Health Intervention - the SERVE OC Trial: Design, Rationale and Baseline Findings

Boden-Albala, B.; Wing, J.; Landry, M. J.; Castro, M.; Gutierrez, D.; Cardenas, C.; Rousseau, J.; Rahmani, A. M.; Chavez, A.; Ding, X.; Kurzman, A.; Albala, B.

2026-09-02 public and global health 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361871 medRxiv
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Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) disproportionately burdens underserved communities, where social determinants of health (SDOH) perpetuate persistent disparities. Family-based interventions leveraging social support represent a promising yet understudied approach. We describe the rationale, design, and methods of the Skills-based Educational strategies for the Reduction of Vascular Events in Orange County (SERVE OC) RCT and present baseline characteristics of enrolled families. Methods: SERVE OC is a 2-arm RCT of 190 Latino and Vietnamese families (486 individuals) randomized to the family-based intervention or individual self-management. The intervention was grounded in social network theory while employing community engaged strategies. Primary outcomes include achieving ideal cardiovascular health (CVH) defined by AHA Life's Essential 8 (LE8) and systolic blood pressure reduction at 12, 24, and 36 months. Baseline assessments include demographics, LE8, psychosocial factors, food security, and SDOH. Descriptive statistics and regression analyses examined cohort characteristics and associations between SDOH, food security, and LE8. Results: Over 83% of participants had suboptimal LE8 scores. Average adult total LE8 scores were 66.61 {plus minus}11.96, with physical activity as the weakest domain, compared to an average of 76.52{plus minus}10.15 in children. Greater SDOH burden and food security were associated with significantly lower odds of ideal CVH and lower LE8 scores respectively. Conclusions: SERVE OC demonstrates the feasibility of enrolling families in community-engaged RCT targeting CVD disparities in underserved population. Baseline findings confirm substantial CVD risk and SDOH burden underscoring the need for multi-level, culturally tailored interventions. Trials results will inform scalable, family-focused strategies for CVD prevention across the life course. Clinical Trial Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/; Unique Identifier: NCT05641519.

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The Psychological Footprint of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysm Discovery

Renedo, D.; Chen, H.; Sheth, K. N.; Gandhi, D.; Malhotra, A.; Matouk, C. C.

2026-08-31 neurology 10.64898/2026.08.25.26361377 medRxiv
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Background: Unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) are increasingly identified incidentally, and management balances rupture risk against treatment risk. UIA diagnosis has been linked to psychological distress, but psychotropic medication initiation after UIA discovery has not been compared across the full UIA management spectrum. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using IBM MarketScan claims (CCAE, MDCD, and MDCR; 2009-2023) among adults with a UIA diagnosis, continuous enrollment for 365 days before and after the index date, and no SAH/rupture on or before the index date. We compared the prevalence of 6 mental-health diagnoses before versus after UIA discovery and used adjusted logistic regression to examine psychotropic medication initiation within 365 days by management strategy (untreated observation as the reference). Results: Among 54,945 patients (untreated, 78.5%; endovascular, 11.3%; clipping, 3.0%; other/uncertain, 7.2%), prevalence of every mental-health diagnosis was higher after UIA discovery, most for depression (+4.6 percentage points) and anxiety (+4.5 points). Medication initiation was most common for benzodiazepines (8.7%). Endovascular treatment was associated with higher adjusted odds of benzodiazepine (aOR, 1.21), SSRI (aOR, 1.20), and sedative-hypnotic (aOR, 1.25) initiation.Surgical clipping demonstrated the broadest association, with higher odds across 5 of 6 classes, including benzodiazepines (aOR, 1.71) and sedative-hypnotics (aOR, 1.86). Benzodiazepines had the lowest 1-year persistence (10.5%) despite being the most commonly initiated class. Findings were consistent across sensitivity analyses, with the exception of the increase in panic disorder, which was no longer observed after applying a 30-day post-index lag. Conclusions: Mental-health diagnoses and psychotropic medication initiation increased after UIA discovery, and medication initiation was most pronounced among patients treated with surgical clipping. These findings support psychological assessment as part of aneurysm management regardless of strategy.

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ClinSeg: Robust Brain Segmentation for Clinically Acquired Pediatric MRI

Levitis, E.; Tregidgo, H. F. J.; Zimmerman, D.; Jung, B.; Karandikar, S.; Gardner, M.; Mattisson, P.; Kafadar, E.; Zapaishchykova, A.; Kann, B. H.; Sotardi, S. T.; Vossough, A.; Huang, H.; Billot, B.; Iglesias Gonzales, J. E.; Alexander, D. C.; Alexander-Bloch, A. F.; Seidlitz, J.

2026-09-02 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361643 medRxiv
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Clinical brain MRIs from pediatric health systems represent a viable resource for modeling early neurodevelopmental trajectories and studying neurodevelopmental risk in real-world populations. However, a limitation to date has been the performance of existing segmentation tools for measuring various brain phenotypes in clinical scans. In particular, many tools underperform in infant scans due to morphological and physical changes such as rapid myelination. Here, we introduce ClinSeg: a robust segmentation approach tailored to early-life clinical MRIs with variable orientation, resolution, and contrast. We leverage existing registration and synthetic data generation tools to construct a training corpus for a 3d U-Net spanning anatomical and contrast diversity, including scans with morphological abnormalities from a pediatric hospital. Validated against manual segmentations, ClinSeg outperforms existing models in infancy while matching them in childhood and adolescence. Finally, ClinSeg enables the construction of reference brain growth trajectories in 11,699 individuals from 0-21 years of age, leading to the detection of more nuanced age-related findings in clinical groups.

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Avoidable childhood respiratory-infection deaths: a frontier analysis of episode-fatality ratios in 204 countries, 1990-2023

Li, D.; Xie, J.; Xue, J.; Chen, H.; Wang, X.; Shen, C.

2026-09-03 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.09.01.26361882 medRxiv
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Background Respiratory infections remain the leading infectious cause of death among children and adolescents, yet the share of these deaths that could be averted with currently feasible care is not routinely quantified. Existing amenable-mortality frameworks rely on cause lists and population-level mortality benchmarks and do not exploit information on how many episodes occur. We propose an episode-fatality-ratio (EFR) frontier approach and apply it to lower respiratory infections (LRI), whooping cough (pertussis) and upper respiratory infections (URI) in 204 countries, 1990-2023. Methods For each cause, country and year we computed EFR = deaths/incident episodes using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2023 estimates for ages 0-19 years. The frontier was defined as the 10th-percentile country EFR within each GBD super-region, cause and year; avoidable deaths = max(0, deaths - episodes x frontier EFR). Primary estimates are deterministic; 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) come from 2,000 Monte Carlo draws. Sensitivity analyses varied the frontier percentile, applied an aspirational global frontier, constructed pertussis counterfactuals, and recomputed all estimates within the single under-5 age band. Results In 2023, 333,803 childhood deaths from lower respiratory infections (95% UI 289,123-417,460; 46.9% of LRI deaths) were avoidable. Summing the three causes deterministically gives 391,034 avoidable deaths (46.5% of 840,444); the combined figure is a deterministic sum, and a UI is available for the LRI component only. The pertussis (43,958; 39.0%) and URI (13,273; 81.0%) estimates are secondary: their deterministic point values fall below their own Monte Carlo intervals and the underlying death estimates carry very wide uncertainty (global pertussis UI 12,545-321,874). Avoidable deaths fell from 1,050,468 (44.9%) in 1990, but between 2019 and 2023 the avoidable share for LRI+URI barely moved (48.7% to 47.7%) while absolute avoidable deaths fell 14.5%, a pattern consistent with stalled convergence to the frontier. Sub-Saharan Africa plus South Asia held 73.1% of avoidable deaths in 2023 versus 41.8% in 1990; ten countries accounted for 59.1%. Conclusion Nearly half of childhood respiratory-infection deaths remain avoidable relative to within-region best practice, and the residual burden is increasingly concentrated in low-income settings. In the pertussis counterfactual, most countries kept pace with their regional frontier, so further gains require advancing the frontier itself through quality-of-care improvements.

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Projected Population-Level Impact of Digital Return of Results for Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Screening at US Blood Donation Centers: A Monte Carlo Simulation Study

Qian, Z.; Khera, A.; Makhnoon, S.; Chapman, B. E.; Bryant, B.; Sayers, M.; Compton, F.; Eason, S.; Xing, C.; Ahmad, Z.

2026-09-03 public and global health 10.64898/2026.09.01.26360806 medRxiv
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Background. Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome affects nearly 90% of US adults, yet most individuals at early, modifiable stages remain unidentified outside clinical care. Blood donation centers offer a scalable, non-clinical venue for CKM screening, but the potential benefit of screening in this context remains unclear. We projected the population-level impact of effective digital return of results (ROR) to inform the design of a pragmatic trial. Methods. We developed a Monte Carlo simulation (100,000 iterations) of the incident major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and type 2 diabetes (T2DM) preventable by ROR-prompted, guideline-concordant follow-up among donors in CKM Stages 1-2. The estimand counts only events averted by donors who act because of ROR; the intervention effect was modeled directly on strictly positive support, and action was translated into prevented events through a hazard-based cumulative-incidence difference that counts each donor at most once. We evaluated 18 design cells (donor volumes 300,000, 1 million, and 8 million/year; 5- and 10-year horizons; action-rate gains of +10, +20, and +30 percentage points [pp]) and, in a complementary two-arm simulation, the assurance (expected power) of detecting the effect in a single deployment. Results. Under the primary +20 pp scenario, ROR at a single large blood center (300,000 donors/year) is projected to prevent a median of 2,201 events (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 1,099-4,364) over 10 years, scaling to 58,526 (29,154-116,769) at the national donor pool. All 18 design cells had strictly positive 95% lower bounds. The number needed to screen was 136 and the screening cost $2,045 per event prevented (at $15/donor), both invariant to donor volume. Impact scaled linearly with volume and effect size but sub-linearly with the horizon. Detection of the effect was effectively certain at gains of +20 pp or larger (assurance [&ge;]99.6% in every cell and >99.9% in all but the smallest 5-year cell). Conclusions. Even under the conservative scenario, digital CKM ROR at blood donation centers is projected to prevent hundreds to tens of thousands of incident cardiometabolic events at a screening cost per event well within accepted prevention benchmarks, providing prospective, quantitative justification for a pragmatic, randomized evaluation of digital ROR in non-clinical screening settings.

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Temporal inequalities in the global COVID-19 vaccine rollout: a cross-national observational study of delivery, health-system capacity, and time to coverage

Lee, H.-W.; Huang, Y.-H.; McAndrew, T. C.

2026-08-31 public and global health 10.64898/2026.08.29.26361724 medRxiv
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Introduction. By the end of 2023, many low-income countries had not reached 50% COVID-19 vaccine coverage, while most high-income countries had exceeded 80%. It remains unclear whether receiving vaccine deliveries translated into faster population coverage. We examined cross-national inequalities in the timing of the vaccine rollout and whether deliveries through the COVID-19 Vaccines Global Access (COVAX) facility were associated with subsequent national uptake. Methods. We conducted an observational study of 218 countries and territories using country-level data up to December 2023. We used generalized additive mixed models to identify country-level correlates of coverage at an early and a later stage of the pandemic, survival analysis to compare the time to 50% coverage between COVAX Advance Market Commitment (AMC) and non-AMC countries, and an event study to estimate the association between the timing of the first COVAX delivery and subsequent monthly coverage in AMC countries. Results. AMC-supported countries reached 50% coverage substantially more slowly than non-AMC countries. The hazard of reaching the threshold was 0.17 times that of non-AMC countries at month 1 (95% CI 0.07 to 0.41) and 0.53 times at month 18 (95% CI 0.33 to 0.85). One year after rollout began, 65.9% of AMC countries (95% CI 56.7 to 76.6) had not reached 50% coverage, compared with 21.1% of non-AMC countries (95% CI 15.1 to 29.5). The timing of COVAX deliveries was not significantly associated with subsequent national uptake in any post-delivery month. In the early stage of rollout, higher maternal mortality was associated with lower coverage, while a larger urban population was associated with higher coverage. By the end of the observation period, larger household size was associated with lower coverage, while higher health expenditure and a larger urban population were associated with higher coverage. Conclusion. Receiving COVAX deliveries was not, on its own, associated with faster coverage. Coverage differences were more consistently associated with country-level structural and health-system characteristics, while we found no significant association with the timing of the first COVAX delivery. Achieving vaccine equality likely requires strengthening the capacity of health systems to convert deliveries into administered doses, and preparedness efforts should invest in last-mile delivery capacity ahead of future emergencies.

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Exploring Cultural and Linguistic Equivalence of a Translated Birth Preparedness and Complication Readiness Education Manual among Hehe Pregnant Women in Rural Tanzania: A Qualitative Study

Mwenda, R. B.; Seif, S. A.; Stephano, R. O.; Moshi, F. V.

2026-09-02 public and global health 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361858 medRxiv
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Background Birth Preparedness and Complication Readiness (BPCR) education is an important component of antenatal care. However, health education materials translated from one language into another may lose their intended meaning if linguistic, cultural, experiential, and sociolinguistic differences are not considered. In Tanzania, maternal health education is commonly delivered in Swahili, while many source materials are developed in English. This study explored the cultural and linguistic equivalence of BPCR terminology and concepts in a translated Swahili BPCR education manual among Hehe pregnant women in the rural Iringa Region, Tanzania. Methods A descriptive qualitative study was conducted in seven villages across Kilolo and Mufindi districts of Iringa Region. Seven focus group discussions (FGDs) involving 56 pregnant women were conducted. Participants were purposively selected from the Hehe community and were asked to interpret terminology and concepts contained in a harmonized Swahili BPCR education manual. The translation and adaptation process comprised six sequential steps: forward translation, synthesis, back translation, expert review, community exploration, and finalization. FGDs were conducted in Swahili by trained facilitators fluent in both Swahili and Hehe, audio-recorded with consent, transcribed, and thematically analyzed using Braun and Clarkes six-phase approach. Analysis focused on semantic, conceptual, experiential, and sociolinguistic equivalence. Reporting was informed by the Consolidated Criteria for Reporting Qualitative Research (COREQ). Results Five themes were developed: (1) culturally and linguistically familiar expressions conveyed BPCR concepts; (2) experiential and contextual language shaped descriptions of danger signs; (3) sociolinguistic norms and modesty influenced communication about sensitive health topics; (4) some clinically important concepts had partial or limited conceptual equivalence; and (5) unfamiliar concepts required supplementary explanation. Participants identified culturally familiar expressions including "matazamio ya kujifungua" ("anticipated date of delivery"), "fedha ndiyo usafiri" ("money itself is transport"), "chupa imepasuka" ("the water bag has burst"), "mtoto kutokucheza tumboni" ("the baby is not moving in the womb"), and "sehemu za siri" ("private parts"). Some expressions were familiar but broader than their biomedical equivalents, while cord prolapse and neonatal cyanosis had no readily recognized community equivalents. Conclusion The findings indicate that cultural and linguistic equivalence cannot be achieved through literal translation alone. Community exploration identified expressions that were familiar and socially acceptable while also revealing clinical concepts requiring additional explanation. The findings informed refinement of the Swahili BPCR education manual while preserving the intended clinical meaning. The adapted terminology should subsequently be evaluated separately for its effects on knowledge, attitudes, practices, and other health outcomes.

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Young people with obesity and rare disease - genotypes, phenotypes and healthcare use

Chia, C.; Baker, K.

2026-08-31 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.08.25.26361359 medRxiv
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Obesity is a significant public health concern. Early-onset obesity in the context of rare disease can reflect genetically-mediated pathology or elevated susceptibility through indirect mechanisms. Mapping the diverse characteristics and needs of young people with obesity in the rare disease population is a first step toward mechanistic and translational research. We carried out a retrospective comparative analysis of demographic, genotypic, phenotypic and health service utilisation data for young people with obesity (cases: n=500) and without obesity (controls: n=11,444) from the UK 100,000 Genomes Project rare disease cohort. Cases and controls were recruited prior to genomic diagnosis, across clinical disorder categories. We observed significant association between socioeconomic deprivation and obesity risk. Young people with obesity had significantly higher utilisations of acute care and mental health services, indicating an overall higher health burden. A curated panel of 519 candidate obesity-associated genes demonstrated aggregate association with obesity, although no single gene reached significance. Phenotypic comparison between cases and controls highlighted increased multi-organ and neurological system involvement, highlighting the overlap between neurodevelopmental and obesity risks. Within the case group, we conducted cluster analysis to identify early-onset obesity groups with different phenotypic profiles, potentially arising from different causal pathways - this identified six obesity subgroups of interest, with differing involvement of neurodevelopmental and other systems. Our study confirms that obesity co-occurs with a wide range of factors within the rare disease population, and is associated with significant physical and mental health needs, requiring holistic lifelong care.

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Transauricular vagus nerve stimulation for aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage: a pilot randomised controlled trial

Myers, M.; Robson, F.; Baig, S.; Kular, S.; Aziz, M.; Burchi, E.; Battacharyya, D.; Li, S.; Majid, A.; Ali, A. N.

2026-08-31 neurology 10.64898/2026.08.25.26361366 medRxiv
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Background: Aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (aSAH) is frequently complicated by delayed cerebral ischaemia (DCI), for which current therapies incompletely target the underlying multifactorial pathophysiology. Transauricular vagus nerve stimulation (taVNS) modulates inflammatory, vasoactive and autonomic pathways and may attenuate secondary brain injury after aSAH. Methods: We conducted a prospective, single-centre, single-blind, randomised, sham-controlled pilot trial in adults within 5 days of aneurysm securing for non-traumatic aSAH. Participants were allocated 1:1 to active taVNS (left tragus) or sham (left earlobe) using a portable device delivered for 45 minutes twice daily over 5 days. Primary outcomes were safety (taVNS-related serious adverse events), acceptability, and compliance; secondary outcomes included inflammatory biomarkers, DCI, in-hospital complications, and functional outcomes to 1 month. Results: Thirty patients were randomised (16 taVNS, 14 sham), with numerically more severe aSAH at baseline in the taVNS arm. No taVNS-related serious adverse events occurred; side effects were generally mild and transient, and over 80% of planned sessions were completed. TaVNS produced greater reductions in serum tumour necrosis factor- and trends towards reductions in interleukin-1{beta} and interleukin-10, with numerically fewer DCI events (6.6% vs 35.7%) and neurological impairments (16.7% vs 53.8%), although functional outcomes were not statistically different at 1 month. Conclusions: Early taVNS after aSAH is safe, acceptable, and feasible in the neurocritical care setting and shows biologically plausible signals warranting evaluation in larger multi-centre trials.

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Antiseizure Medication Administration Gaps Across the ICU-to-Floor Transfer: A Matched Within-Patient Comparison

Gorenshtein, A.; Adiniaev, Y.; Srour, A.; Klang, E.; Daniel, O.

2026-08-31 neurology 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361462 medRxiv
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Objective: Whether a scheduled antiseizure medication (ASM) continues on schedule across the ICU-to-floor transfer has not been characterized. We quantified ASM administration-gap frequency across this transfer and compared it with gap frequency during matched non-transfer intervals in the same patient and drug. Methods: In this retrospective MIMIC-IV (version 3.1) cohort study, we identified epilepsy and status-epilepticus admissions with an ICU stay followed by floor transfer and a scheduled ASM order active at ICU departure. A gap was defined as an interval exceeding 1.5 times the expected dosing interval between the last ICU dose and first floor dose, or no further dose before discharge, and compared with a matched non-transfer control interval in the same patient and drug (paired McNemar test). A multivariable model evaluated six prespecified clinical predictors; sociodemographic variables were summarized descriptively. Results: Among 2,469 ASM transition-by-drug observations (1,583 admissions, 1,335 patients), an administration gap occurred in 251 (10.2%; 95% CI, 8.7%-11.7%). Gap frequency across the transfer exceeded frequency during matched non-transfer control intervals in the same patient and drug: a paired rate difference of 5.8 percentage points (95% CI, 4.4-7.1; 7.5% vs 1.7%; P = 7.3 x 10^-22) before the transfer and 6.4 percentage points (95% CI, 4.9-7.9; 8.9% vs 2.5%; P = 1.9 x 10^-23) after. Gap rates were similar for intravenous-available (9.9%) and oral-only (11.4%) drugs (rate difference, 1.5 percentage points; 95% CI, -1.6 to 4.5; P = .34). None of six prespecified predictors reached significance after correction. Significance: An antiseizure medication administration gap occurred in approximately 1 of every 10 drug-transition observations at the ICU-to-floor transfer, exceeding matched non-transfer gap rates by 5.8 to 6.4 percentage points. This transfer-associated excess, rather than any single medication or patient characteristic, supports a structured medication-continuity check.

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Household hunger trajectories and mental health symptoms of adolescent girls and young women in rural South Africa: an HPTN-068 longitudinal study

Chakraborty, R.; Rosenberg, M.; Weigel, M. M.; Pettifor, A.; Kahn, K.; Gomez-Olive, F. X.

2026-09-03 public and global health 10.64898/2026.09.01.26361988 medRxiv
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Purpose Despite the high documented prevalence of hunger and poor mental health in adolescent girls and young women (AGYW) in South Africa, this relationship remains understudied, with existing studies limited by their cross-sectional designs. This longitudinal study aimed to identify the association of hunger trajectories with anxiety and depressive symptoms, and hope in AGYW. Methods We used secondary data from the HIV Prevention Trials Network (HPTN) -068 conducted in rural Agincourt, South Africa. Complete data from 1779 AGYW collected at baseline (2011/12) and three annual follow-up visits were used. Hunger trajectories, measured using the Household Hunger Scale, were estimated via Group-Based Trajectory Modelling. Self-reported incident anxiety and depressive symptoms and hope were assessed based on AGYWs last two follow-up visits. Covariate adjusted modified Poisson regression models estimated the association between hunger trajectories and incident anxiety symptoms, incident depressive symptoms, and hope. Results Moderate-severe hunger was prevalent in 11.0%, 10.8%, and 6.0% of the households at baseline, follow-up 1, and 2, respectively. Incident anxiety symptoms were reported by 4.5%, incident depressive symptoms by 20.0% and hopelessness by 52.8% of the AGYW. Two hunger trajectories were identified- no hunger (82%) and marginal hunger (18%). Hunger trajectories were not associated with incident anxiety symptoms [RR:1.09, 95% CI: 0.55, 2.18], incident depressive symptoms [RR: 0.97; 95% CI: 0.72, 1.33] nor hope [RR: 1.00; 95% CI: 0.81, 1.23] in AGYW. Conclusion Better understanding of the factors that promote resiliency and mental health of AGYW in this setting is warranted to inform the design of interventions.

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Relation of Self-Reported Race and Genetic Ancestry to Hypertension Prevalence Among Hispanics/Latinos: The Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos

Montanez-Valverde, R. A.; Kim, V.; Duran-Luciano, P.; Yuan, Y.; Sofer, T.; Kaplan, R. C.; Gallo, L. C.; Talavera, G. A.; Perreira, K. M.; Daviglus, M. L.; Rosas, S. E.; Llabre, M. M.; Elfassy, T.; Li, X.; Isasi, C. R.; Rodriguez, C. J.

2026-09-03 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.09.01.26361995 medRxiv
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Background. The imprecision of current metrics to capture the complex genetic admixture and racial identity among Hispanic/Latino individuals in the United States [US] is a concern. We examined the relationship of self-reported race and genetic ancestry with hypertension [HTN] among Hispanics/Latinos. Methods. Cross-sectional study of the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos (HCHS/SOL), including 10,586 Hispanic/Latino unrelated adults. Genetic ancestry: West African [AA], Amerindian [AI], and European [EA]. Self-reported race: White, Black, Native American, or Multiple/Missing (More than one race or Unknown/Not reported/Refused). HTN: systolic (SBP) [&ge;]130 mmHg, diastolic blood pressure (DBP) [&ge;]80 mmHg, and/or use of HTN medications. Age- and sex adjusted models were used. Results. Self-reported race was White (38{middle dot}6%), Black (3{middle dot}6%), Native American (4{middle dot}1%), and Multiple/Missing (53{middle dot}7%), with Unknown/Not reported/Refused representing 32{middle dot}7%. Black and White Hispanics/Latinos had the greatest AA (55{middle dot}7%) and EA (69{middle dot}3%) ancestries, respectively. Each 10% AA increase was associated with OR 1{middle dot}15, SBP beta +0{middle dot}9 mmHg, and DBP beta +0{middle dot}7 mmHg. Conversely, each 10% AI increase was associated with OR 0{middle dot}83, SBP beta -0{middle dot}4 mmHg, and DBP beta -0{middle dot}6 mmHg. HTN prevalence was highest among those with Black race or in the highest AA quantile (45{middle dot}6% and 48{middle dot}0%, respectively), and lowest among those with Native American race or in the highest AI quantile (37{middle dot}6% and 26{middle dot}7%, respectively). Conclusion. One-third of Hispanics/Latinos did not self-report race. Black or White self-reporting race did somewhat relate to AA or EA ancestry, respectively. HTN profiles were related to self-reported race and genetic ancestry in this admixed population.